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To reverse a years of weakening total factor efficiency, regional labour market policy is shifting from basic job production to managing active labor force transitions. Governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more common as companies integrate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil costs forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are magnifying their focus on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, utilities, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact investments. While borrowing through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus stays on reinforcing non-oil profits frameworks.
PwC Middle East financial policy and technique partner Jing Teow stated: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the priority is enhancing economic durability through more safe and secure trade and investment relationships, effective AI deployment, handled labor force shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more challenging and fragmented international environment.".

Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, durable domestic demand and restored financial investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to surpass most international regions peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Although oil earnings will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it specified. Saudi Arabia will stay a major factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.

Development will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, consisting of eased foreign ownership rules that aim to promote additional investment. The fiscal deficit is projected to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil rates, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to ease inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP projection to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and monetary services remain key development motorists, supported by population growth and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.

Oil production is expected to get once again in the second half of 2026, matching ongoing investment in facilities, technology and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has actually come in structure varied, resilient and internationally competitive economies.
What UAE Employees Actually Want in 2026Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economic Expert and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring rate, supported by robust demand and rising investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of solid domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
The Important Guide to Qatar's Evolving Service FrameworksWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not merely the velocity of technological change, though that acceleration is real, but rather a basic shift in how enterprises envisage their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this growth masks a more profound change.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with worldwide business results. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most significant strategic recalibration in the GCC design's evolution.
This week, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what comes next, including the growth and continuous advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing function in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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